Can earthquakes be predicted?

Total Pageviews

Search This Blog

Powered By Blogger

Sunday, April 21, 2024

Explanation of deeper quakes

 The Deep quakes and plate tectonics


The plate tectonics fails to explain the deep quakes at 600 to 700 kms below Earthcrust.This is because the plate thickness are up to 100 kms .How come a rupture or relative motion at this much depth.
The answer given by plate tectonics is like this...
At subduction zone the plate  going below another plate, reaches the depth of 700 kms and then due to heat ,it dismantle from subducting plate,giving a jerk and hence a quake.
Now the question is...
1) The temp at 700 km depth is about 1000 degrees Celsius
2) The Earth crust melt at temp from 600 to 900 degree Celsius 1300 Celsius max.
Now the question is whether the defending plate can bear the temp of 1000 degrees ,without melting or atleast becoming fluid?
How come a fluid plate material can produce a jerk on mother plate,which is already melted or about to melt?
The explanation given is just an eyewash.
Now my explanation is...
There is water (in whichever form ,sponge or otherwise),below Earthcrust at a depth of 700 kms.The beauty of recent reserch says ,the water quantity is three times that of waters in all oceans.
Now when tidal pull exceed the limit ,on given date ,it breaks the surrounding mentle (material) and a deep quake occurs.
So ,tidal pull on water below 700 kms is the main reason of deep quakes.

Thursday, April 18, 2024

Some opinion -way back in 2008

 http://suvratk.blogspot.com/2008/06/mumbai-engineer-claims-new-earthquake.html?m=1

Monday, April 15, 2024

One more question to plate tectonics

 

One more question for plate tectonics

It is beltway, it takes years to built up stresses at plate boundaries, inside the crust.When these stresses are released by way of movement and Earthquake, it takes several years to built up stresses again
Now question is...
Why there are frequent 6+ quakes at locations like PNG ,Tonga etc.?
Why and how the stresses are built-up so fast.
If you have doubt ,take out records for both places and check.

Now here is my explanation
At such locations ,like Japan ,where more plate boundaries meet ,the structure is very week.So ,whenever there is little more tidal pull nearby ,it gives a way first ( being weakest)
Hence more major quakes at these locations
for more
https://Earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Can we measure built up stresses on the plate boundaries?

 Plate tectonics and internal built up stress


As it is believed that ,the Earthquakes occur due to built up stress on the plate boundaries.  As the moving plates  creates and built up stresses over plate boundaries.
When these built up stresses exceed the threshold limit ,the plates move one over other or side by side and hence a quake
Now being an engineer, I have some questions about these stresses.
Most of the major and devastating quakes occurs at shallow depth of 10 to 15 km.
Look at here ,what all data we have
1) plate area in sq kms
2) Depth of plates
3) Average density of plate
4) Hence mass of plates
5) speed of plates in cms per year etc
6) Hence kinetic energy a plate carry while moving say 1/2 mv2
7) we can drill up to 12 kms inside the Earth and can collect samples from depth.
8) We can test these samples taken from along plate boundaries and test them in Laboratory for compression, tensile and shear strength.
Now with all these data can seismologist find out the built up stress at 12 km depth?
Also can seismologist compare these built up stress with laboratory results
Keeping some factor of safety can seismologist predict when the built up stress will exceed laboratory results?
SO CAN WE PREDICT MAJOR EARTHQUAKES?




A hypothesis on plate boundaries and Earthquakes

 A hypothesis on plate tectonics


Look at my this statement...

Yes,there are plates on Earth and they are moving. However, the fact of the matter is
the Earthquakes are not due to these plates ,but the plates and plate boundaries are due to Earthquakes..

Look at my above, may be stupid ,may be bold statement.,you decide.
  However before deciding answer few of the following questions
1) As the Earthcrust started to solidify, how the first plate broke and plate boundry developed?
Wait ,I will give your answer..The heat currents of magma from below comming up broke it.correct?
Now answer this question..
If there were heat currents /convection currents, (like boiling water comming up),at that location ,it would not allow the plate to solidify over it,in first place.

Now look at this explanation..
As the Earth cooled plates started to solidify over it.The tidal pull broke the thin crusts,as major Earthquakes, at several locations.Hence plates and plate boundaries are formed.
2) Why there are quakes at locations other than plate boundaries?
Wait ,I will answer it for you.
Those are due to intra plate fault lines.
Now another question..
If there is a small faultline inside a big plate,how come there are relative motion on fault line? Because there can not be a relative motion ,inside a big plate,which is must for a quake to occur.

MOON QUAKES AND TIDAL PULL

 

Why Moonquakes follow tidal cycle .Why Moonquakes are very deep?
Why Moon have quakes without platetectonics.?

Surprisingly ,seismologist believe that ,Moonquakes are due to Earth's tidal pull.But not ready to believe that can happen to Earth also.

Now ,I will explain what actually happens when seismologist try to link full Moon and New Moon to Earthquakes.
Yes, all Full Moon and New Moon do not give quakes .If you try to link them statistically it may not give results.
What actually required is ,several factors like
1) Moon cycle
2) Moon proximity
3) Moon at Maximum Declinations North or South
4) Major planets closer to Earth mainly Jupiter,Venus ,Mars
5) Three or More planets in line with Earth
6) Major planets changing directions from Direct to retrogate or retrogate to direct
7)Sun at Maximum Declinations
These are in order of importance
Why Maximum Declinations ?
Because after Maximum Declinations the planets appears to move in opposite direction in sky.Thus the tidal pull direction reverses. It is like breaking a car and reversing direction. This gives jerks to internal magma .Hence a quake
So ,one need to combine all ,not only Moon phases.
Studying only Moon phases V/s quakes and rejecting the theory is not correct

https://seismo.berkeley.edu/blog/2009/07/20/quakes-on-the-moon.html

Monday, April 08, 2024

Hypothesis of volcanic eruptions and Earthquake link

 Watch my date of Earthquake prediction 

7th April 24.

Though there is only one 6 mag quake on 8th (actually two minutes past 8th ) here is a volcanic eruption on 7th 

As states earlier ,my probable dates are prone to volcanic eruption also.

 The new hypothesis is 

On the predicted date ,there are chances of volcanic eruption to occur also.

This is because ,the tidal pull on magma, if directly below volcanic mouth ,it may break open the mouth and an Eruption occurs.

 Further ,the extended version of hypothesis says,...

..if there is an eruption on the given date ,the magnitude of quake will be less ,This is because in eruption the internal built up pressure is partially released ,hence lesser magnitude quake.

Yet ,extended version of hypothesis says..

...few years from now ,it will be possible to manage the magnitude of quake in populated area  by inducing volcanic eruption at remote places and there by reducing the magnitude of quakes on given date

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShtIihbXiJw